Tuesday, October 30, 2018

A Look at How Voters Switch Parties in Cambria County from 2014-2018




























Last week I looked at gross changes in the voter registration rolls in Cambria County.  This week I'm looking at how many of these changes were due to pepole switching parties. The Department of State provides these numbers for 2018.  The graph above shows the number of voters who have switched from 2014-2018.  


Cambria County
2014
2016
2018
% Change ’14-‘18
% Change ’14-‘16
% Change ’16-‘18
Democrat
48,417
45,378
41,332
-14.7
-6.4
-8.9
Republican
27,475
32,756
33,261
+21.1
+19.2
+1.5
Other
8,287
8,714
8,580
+3.5
+5.2
-1.5
Population
137,386
134,313
133,054*
-3.2*
-2.2
-1.0*
*2017 estimates

The light green bar shows the number of Democrats switching to Republican for each year.  The largest increaseby far was in 2016 with 2,523 switching.  In the same year an additional 665 switched their registration from other to Republican.  The total gain in GOP registration from 2014-2016 was 5,281.  The number switching in 2016 accounted for 60.4% of this gain.  In 2018 the gain for Republicans was 505 but the number switching to Republicans was 848 from Democrats and 198 from others.  This suggests that the number of new registrants are not picking the GOP and other voters are now either inactive or have left the area.


**Related Posts**

Losses in Registered Democrats have Accelerated Since 2016 for Cambria and Somerset Counties (PA)


PA Election 2018: Will Facebook and Twitter Followings Predict Winners?

No comments:

Post a Comment