Ward |
Biden |
Trump |
Other |
Diff |
Total |
|||
N |
% |
N |
% |
N |
% |
|||
Cambria City |
81 |
46.6% |
86 |
49.4% |
7 |
4.0% |
-5 |
174 |
Center Town |
230 |
58.2% |
159 |
40.3% |
6 |
1.5% |
71 |
395 |
18th ward |
140 |
39.1% |
207 |
57.8% |
11 |
3.1% |
-67 |
358 |
8th ward 1 |
172 |
48.9% |
173 |
49.1% |
7 |
2.0% |
-1 |
352 |
8th ward 3 |
353 |
41.2% |
485 |
56.7% |
18 |
2.1% |
-132 |
856 |
Kernville |
150 |
58.1% |
105 |
40.7% |
3 |
1.2% |
45 |
258 |
19th ward |
208 |
45.8% |
235 |
51.8% |
11 |
2.4% |
-27 |
454 |
Old Conemaugh |
250 |
53.8% |
208 |
44.7% |
7 |
1.5% |
42 |
465 |
Prospect |
161 |
78.9% |
42 |
20.6% |
1 |
0.5% |
119 |
204 |
7th ward |
348 |
60.1% |
224 |
38.7% |
7 |
1.2% |
124 |
579 |
21st ward |
110 |
37.2% |
183 |
61.8% |
3 |
1.0% |
-73 |
296 |
17th ward 1 |
232 |
57.1% |
169 |
41.6% |
5 |
1.2% |
63 |
406 |
17th ward 2 |
242 |
48.8% |
246 |
49.6% |
8 |
1.6% |
-4 |
496 |
17th ward 3 |
183 |
46.0% |
209 |
52.5% |
6 |
1.5% |
-26 |
398 |
17th ward 4 |
113 |
44.1% |
139 |
54.3% |
4 |
1.6% |
-26 |
256 |
20th ward 1 |
270 |
43.9% |
337 |
54.8% |
8 |
1.3% |
-67 |
615 |
20th Ward 2 |
259 |
54.0% |
215 |
44.8% |
6 |
1.3% |
44 |
480 |
Total |
3,502 |
49.7% |
3,422 |
48.6% |
118 |
1.7% |
80 |
7,042 |
My occupation is a statistician. I tell people it is like "CSI without dead bodies" because analyzing a set of data that has been collected is like doing an autopsy on a deceased person in the sense that I'm trying to learn what I can from what statistics and information are available. Except in this case the information does not involve gross things. For me the research process can be humorous, scary, but always captivating.
Monday, November 9, 2020
Joe Biden won Johnstown by 80 votes
Four years ago Donald Trump won Cambria County with 66.8% of the vote. This year he won the county with 67.9%. Many observers were shocked that he won by such a large margin. However when one looks at individual precincts a more complex pattern can emerge.
**Related Posts**
In 2017, looked at the precinct data for Johnstown and found that Hillary Clinton won the 20 precincts of the city by 83 votes. This year I took another look at the precincts in the city and found that Biden won the city again by 80 votes.
This year there were 17 precincts in the city whereas there were 20 in the city four years ago. Biden won 7 out of the 17 precincts (highlighted in yellow). Hillary Clinton won 11 of the 20 precincts.
When the votes are totaled across the city, Biden won the city by 80 votes out of the 7,042 cast or 1.1%. This margin is slightly smaller than the margin that Clinton won by (83 out of 6,438 cast or 1.3%). Biden largest margin was in the seventh ward in terms of the number of votes (124) while for Trump it was in 8th ward number three (132). Clinton likewise won the 7th ward at 166 while Percentagewise, Biden's best result was in Prospect at 78.9% (it was for Clinton as well at 82.1%) while for Trump it was in the 21st ward at 61.8% (in 2016 he won the 21st with 61.5%).
There were 118 (1,7% of the total) third party and write ins in the city this year while in 2016 there were 281 in the city (4.4% of the total). In 2016 there were three third party candidates on the ballot (Green, Constitutional, Libertarian). This year there was one (Libertarian).
Six hundred and four more people voted this year than in 2016. The margins in the Trump precincts were closer than in Biden's. The large margins in Biden's precincts were large enough to offset those in the more numerous precincts for Trump. This city is just as divided as the nation.
Labels:
2020 Election,
Cambria County,
Johnstown,
Pennsylvania,
Trump
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