Saturday, February 19, 2022

A Corona Virus Update: Cases and Hospitalizations Lower but Vaccinations also Lower

I stayed away from the Coronavirus as long as I could.  The news in Cambria County has recently been mostly good. The height of the omicron surge was January 16 when the 7 day average for new cases was 337.29 cases per day.  Today it is 43.14 per day, the lowest it has been since Sept 9 of last fall. 

The graph above shows that hospitalizations in Cambria (30) are now at the lowest level in the county since Sept 19.  Correspondingly, the current number of COVID patients on a ventilator (4) are at its lowest level since Sept 23.  Likewise, the number of patients in adult ICU (2) are at the lowest level since Sept 1.

There really was no corresponding surge in deaths in the county during the omicron surge in cases.  The 7 day average for the number of deaths per day has mostly ranged between 1 and 2 deaths per day since Sept 28.  

The trend in vaccinations also shows some declines with the number of partial vaccinations (dotted black line in the graph at the top) inching downward from a recent high of 9,063 on January 26 to 8,886 today.  This means that fewer individuals are getting the first shot.  The 7 day average for individuals getting the second shot or fully vaccinated (yellow line at the top) has also been declining from a recent high of 120.4 per day on Dec. 9 to 32.3 today.  Over the same period, the 7 day average for those getting the 3rd booster shot (pink line in the above graph) has also decreased from 369.7 per day to 40.3 per day today.  The decrease in the number getting the booster could be due to the vast majority who rushed to get the vaccine in the early days of the rollout received the booster.  

Dr. Anthony Fauci has said that it is time to start inching towards normality with the pandemic.  The omicron variant appears to be more contagious but less lethal than previous COVID variants.  There is always the nightmare scenario that a new variant could come along that is resistant to the virus and is more lethal.  I have updated the county numbers in the online with more recent data from the 2020 census.

**Related Posts**

PA County Factors that Predict Full COVID Vaccination Rates